Hostile upper-level winds are forecast to dominate the belt across the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, and the tropical Atlantic for the foreseeable future—at least the next 10 days. We can never rule out some random development in the Caribbean or the southern Gulf in November, but there is no sign of it in the long-range computer forecasts.   Hurricane Melissa passed Bermuda last night. Winds at the Dockyards there peaked at 83 mph sustained with gusts just over 100 mph. The

Communication systems are down, so we still don't know the total breadth and depth of the catastrophe in Jamaica. But what we know is horrible. The western half of the island was devastated. Montego Bay, the heart of the tourism economy in the country, is out of commission. Crops were destroyed. Cities and towns were inundated. It will take years to recover.   The incredible 185 mph winds, torrential rains, and storm surge ripped off roofs and flooded cities and towns in both