Tropical Storm Melissa is organizing while it sits over the Caribbean southeast of Jamaica. The hostile upper-level winds that have been holding it back have let up enough that a partial eyewall has formed. Melissa will likely intensify into a hurricane in a matter of hours. Once the storm has its structure in place, rapid intensification is forecast over the near-record warm water.   If Melissa goes down the middle of the National Hurricane Center cone and intensifies as for

It's increasingly likely that Jamaica will experience long-duration impacts from likely Hurricane Melissa like no storm they've encountered in modern times. Even if Melissa's strongest winds stay offshore, and there's no guarantee that that will happen, three or four days of relentless, heavy rain and gusty winds appear likely.   People should be in a safe spot by the end of tomorrow and be prepared to stay for at least three days.   Tropical Storm Melissa is still ragged, bu