The Tropical Disturbance we've been watching is on track to move across the southeastern Caribbean islands – the Windward Islands – tomorrow into Monday. Gusty squalls with heavy rain are likely in some areas. Then next week, things get fuzzy.   About Thursday, the system will be in the central Caribbean under atmospheric conditions reasonably conducive to organization and strengthening. The question is, how strong can it get and how quickly?   A sharp dip in the jet stream w

The tropical disturbance we've been following is finally within the National Hurricane Center's seven-day window, so they're now drawing a big lemon in the Caribbean where the system has a chance of developing.   The long line from the disturbance's current location in the central Tropical Atlantic to the eastern Caribbean is an indication that development is not expected before the system gets to the vicinity of the islands. On the current schedule, the disturbance is foreca