The tropical disturbance we've been following is finally within the National Hurricane Center's seven-day window, so they're now drawing a big lemon in the Caribbean where the system has a chance of developing.   The long line from the disturbance's current location in the central Tropical Atlantic to the eastern Caribbean is an indication that development is not expected before the system gets to the vicinity of the islands. On the current schedule, the disturbance is foreca

The National Hurricane Center has a clean slate for the next seven days. After that time, the various computer forecasts continue to show a decent chance that the tropical disturbance over the far eastern Atlantic will track into the Caribbean next week and eventually develop. The models show a weather pattern over the central and western Caribbean that would be conducive to the disturbance organizing, and some show strengthening, if the system gets that far.   On the current