Atlantic Remains Hostile to Tropical Development

Dry air, including surges of Saharan dust, continues to blanket the tropical Atlantic and occasionally push into the Caribbean and the Gulf. In addition, hostile upper-level winds are ripping across most of the areas where systems have typically developed this time of year.

The bottom line is that no development is likely in the tropics through the middle of July, at least.

There is a hint that another one of those non-tropical development scenarios could come together in the northern Gulf in about 10 days, similar to what we saw with Chantal. But the scenario is low odds and too far off to pin down.

By the way, the D storm this year will be Dexter, which replaced Dorian on the list. Six years ago, Hurricane Dorian devastated the northern Bahamas when it sat over Great Abaco with 185 mile-per-hour winds and slowly tracked across Grand Bahama Island.

Names come around every six years unless they are retired because of significant impacts.

Tropical Depression Chantal

The remnants of Chantal—still technically a tropical depression—are pushing northeast across Virginia and into the mid-Atlantic. Heavy rain is still possible in some locations. The corridor with the highest potential for flooding extends across Maryland and Delaware into South Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania.

River flooding set some local record in North Carolina between Raleigh and Greensboro. Stay aware and stay informed.