TROPICS UPDATE: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2019

A DISORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FAR OUT IN THE ATLANTIC WILL HEAD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A MOISTURE SURGE. FOR SOUTH FLORIDA, A SLIGHT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER WILL ARRIVE THIS WEEKEND, BUT STILL NO MOISTURE-SWEEPING COLD FRONTS ARE FORECAST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

The National Hurricane Center has been tracking a Tropical Disturbance in the far eastern Atlantic midway between Africa and the Caribbean. It is unlikely to be anything but a moisture surge when it moves through the southern Caribbean islands around the middle of next week.

A cold front has pushed down the Florida peninsula to around Lake Okeechobee. High temperatures in Orlando will be in the 70s to around 80 the next few days, and in the 60s in Tallahassee. But this front is forecast to stall out where it is, so South Florida will stay in the warm and humid air.

Another front reinforces it over the weekend, while the first one weakens. But event that second front doesn’t appear strong enough to completely clear things out.

With the fronts in the area, especially late in the weekend, the chance of rain will increase by, so it will likely feel a bit cooler. The ocean breeze will increase as well, which will also help. But it will still be unusually humid for November. And the fronts will die out or retreat north next week.

By late next week, another front will flirt with South Florida. It’s unclear is it will actually go through, but at this point it appears a bit stronger. Though it’s not clear if it will be strong enough to completely clear out the moist tropical air. So we wait.

Subtropical Storm Rebekah is no more. The system is being absorbed by another weather system in the northeastern Atlantic.