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Eventually We Might Have to Watch the Atlantic Disturbance (#96L)
The robust tropical disturbance that the National Hurricane Center officially tagged Invest 96L has begun its trek across the tropical Atlantic in the general direction of the northeast Caribbean. It's carrying a reasonable amount of moisture, so it has a chance to fight off the Saharan dust sufficiently to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center now has the development odds in the high range. As it gets

Bryan Norcross
Aug 25


Tropical Development Increasingly Likely in the Atlantic and Pacific
The National Hurricane Center is noting two disturbances over the eastern tropical Atlantic that are worth watching. Disturbance #1 is very disorganized and the NHC has put its chances of making it to tropical depression status in the low range. However, it could bring some beneficial rain to the southern Caribbean islands about midweek. The odds of development are low because it will be plowing into super hostile upper winds as it nears the Caribbean. Disturbance #2 is s

Bryan Norcross
Aug 9


An Area to Watch in the Tropical Atlantic Plus Chances Increase of a Storm Near Hawaii
The National Hurricane Center is painting a large yellow area to watch in the central tropical Atlantic. Notice there is no X designating the center of the system in question. That's because that disturbance is still over Africa. It's forecast to move off the coast about Tuesday. Long-range computer forecast models give the system a decent chance of developing into at least a tropical depression in that area late in the week, but the NHC is keeping the odds in the low categ

Bryan Norcross
Aug 8
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