• Bryan Norcross

TROPICS UPDATE: WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 2, 2019

TWO TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE AROUND FLORIDA, BUT NEITHER ARE A THREAT. LORENZO IS HEADING TOWARD IRELAND AND GREAT BRITAIN.


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE #1 is in the Caribbean Sea heading toward the Gulf of Mexico. The northern edge of the disturbance is forecast to brush South Florida, increasing the clouds and the chance of rain over the next couple of days.


There is a slight chance the disturbance will organize into a tropical depression between now and the weekend as it moves toward the western Gulf of Mexico, but no significant development is expected. In any case, it would not be a threat to South Florida.


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE #2 is an elongated area of disturbed weather east of the Bahamas. It is not expected to develop into an organized system. In any case, it will move out to sea.



HURRICANE LORENZO has past Portugal’s Azores Islands. The weather there will be much better by later today. The system is transitioning into a typical North Atlantic storm and is forecast to bring strong winds and heavy rain to Ireland and the British Isles, and then die over northern Europe.


The giant storm has been propagating large swells across the Atlantic, and may be partially responsible for the higher-than-forecast King Tides in South Florida. Those effects will now slowly diminish, however, as the seas gradually calm.


ELSEWHERE, there are no areas of special interest in the Atlantic.